AB II vs B36 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
56.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AB II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ABA
1 - 4
UND
30%
24%
46%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
VES
5 - 1
ABA
19%
20%
61%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | -3 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ABA
2 - 0
TBT
57%
21%
23%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
HOY
0 - 3
ABA
32%
22%
46%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ABA
3 - 3
TOF
24%
22%
54%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
B36 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
TOR
6 - 1
VES
82%
12%
7%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
TBT
0 - 2
TOR
22%
23%
55%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
TOR
5 - 1
SKA
59%
21%
21%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
TOR
3 - 1
IFF
76%
15%
10%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SUD
0 - 1
TOR
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |