Aarup vs Fyn analysis


41	ELO	57
10%	Tilt	11%
21268º	General ELO ranking	20377º
218º	Country ELO ranking	214º
ELO win probability

21.5%

Aarup

22.3%

Draw

56.1%

Fyn

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

21.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%

22.3%

Draw

0-0

5.1%

1-1

10.5%

2-2

5.4%

3-3

1.2%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

22.3%

56.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarup

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
06 Nov. 2011	LFA 2 - 0 AAR 61% 22% 18%	42	52	10
29 Oct. 2011	AAR 1 - 1 BRA 44% 25% 31%	42	48	6
22 Oct. 2011	VIB 1 - 1 AAR 34% 23% 43%	42	35	7
15 Oct. 2011	AAR 1 - 1 MAR 34% 23% 43%	42	48	6
08 Oct. 2011	OTB 2 - 2 AAR 56% 21% 23%	42	44	2

Matches

Fyn

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
06 Nov. 2011	FYN 1 - 2 AAF 54% 23% 24%	58	56	2	0
29 Oct. 2011	SKJ 0 - 3 FYN 19% 22% 59%	58	41	17	0
23 Oct. 2011	FYN 1 - 0 SKI 73% 17% 10%	58	47	11	0
16 Oct. 2011	SVE 0 - 1 FYN 32% 24% 44%	57	51	6	+1
09 Oct. 2011	FYN 1 - 0 KJE 78% 14% 8%	57	42	15	0