Aarhus Fremad vs Thisted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
VEJ
0 - 3
AAF
27%
27%
47%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
AAF
2 - 0
MID
35%
27%
37%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
JAM
0 - 2
AAF
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
AAF
4 - 0
RIN
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
AAF
1 - 0
SYD
69%
18%
12%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
NAS
1 - 1
THI
22%
21%
57%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
THI
4 - 0
VEJ
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
VAR
3 - 4
THI
18%
20%
63%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
MID
5 - 1
THI
59%
21%
20%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
THI
3 - 1
DAL
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |