Aarhus Fremad vs Thisted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
SOL
0 - 4
AAF
28%
24%
48%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
AAF
0 - 0
KJE
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 1
AAF
20%
24%
56%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
AAF
2 - 0
MID
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
RIN
1 - 1
AAF
21%
22%
57%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
THI
3 - 2
SVE
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2013 |
SKA
2 - 2
THI
43%
23%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
THI
1 - 2
SOL
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
KJE
0 - 3
THI
25%
23%
52%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
THI
2 - 0
BRA
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |