Aarhus Fremad vs VSK Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SKJ
1 - 1
AAF
19%
23%
58%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
AAF
2 - 1
NAS
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FYN
1 - 2
AAF
54%
23%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
AAF
3 - 3
LFA
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 2
AAF
24%
25%
51%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
VSK Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SKI
4 - 0
AAR
63%
19%
18%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SKI
3 - 1
THI
24%
22%
54%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +3 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
VAR
4 - 1
SKI
48%
24%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SKI
0 - 3
NAS
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FYN
1 - 0
SKI
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |