Denmark Third Division Round 15

Aarhus Fremad vs Næsby BK analysis

Aarhus Fremad Næsby BK
56 ELO 41
1.9% Tilt 10.9%
1499º General ELO ranking 3511º
22º Country ELO ranking 40º
ELO win probability
74.6%
Aarhus Fremad
15.8%
Draw
9.6%
Næsby BK

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
Aarhus Fremad
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.6%
Win probability
Næsby BK
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aarhus Fremad
+9%
-6%
Næsby BK

ELO progression

Aarhus Fremad
Næsby BK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarhus Fremad
Aarhus Fremad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Mar. 2021
SYD
Sydvest
1 - 1
Aarhus Fremad
AAF
18%
23%
59%
57 44 13 0
07 Feb. 2021
ESB
Esbjerg
2 - 0
Aarhus Fremad
AAF
60%
21%
19%
56 65 9 +1
30 Jan. 2021
VFF
Viborg FF
4 - 2
Aarhus Fremad
AAF
67%
19%
15%
56 67 11 0
17 Jan. 2021
VEJ
Vejle BK
3 - 1
Aarhus Fremad
AAF
67%
19%
15%
56 67 11 0
09 Jan. 2021
SON
SonderjyskE
6 - 0
Aarhus Fremad
AAF
68%
19%
12%
56 74 18 0

Matches

Næsby BK
Næsby BK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Mar. 2021
NAS
Næsby BK
3 - 0
SfB-Oure
OFA
49%
21%
30%
39 38 1 0
30 Jan. 2021
NAS
Næsby BK
3 - 0
Holstebro
HOL
52%
22%
27%
38 37 1 +1
23 Jan. 2021
DAL
Dalum
1 - 0
Næsby BK
NAS
53%
22%
25%
39 44 5 -1
21 Nov. 2020
JAM
Jammerbugt
4 - 1
Næsby BK
NAS
72%
18%
11%
39 58 19 0
14 Nov. 2020
NAS
Næsby BK
0 - 0
VSK Aarhus
SKI
32%
24%
44%
39 46 7 0