Denmark Fourth Division Round 3

Aarhus Fremad vs Aalborg BK II analysis

Aarhus Fremad Aalborg BK II
44 ELO 30
-10.2% Tilt 9.4%
1566º General ELO ranking 22486º
22º Country ELO ranking 248º
ELO win probability
74.2%
Aarhus Fremad
16.7%
Draw
9.1%
Aalborg BK II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
Aarhus Fremad
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
9.1%
Win probability
Aalborg BK II
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aarhus Fremad
-5%
-45%
Aalborg BK II

ELO progression

Aarhus Fremad
Aalborg BK II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarhus Fremad
Aarhus Fremad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Aug. 2014
LYS
Lystrup
1 - 4
Aarhus Fremad
AAF
14%
18%
68%
45 24 21 0
16 Aug. 2014
AAF
Aarhus Fremad
1 - 0
VRI
VRI
71%
18%
11%
46 30 16 -1
12 Aug. 2014
AAB
Aabyhøj IF
2 - 4
Aarhus Fremad
AAF
18%
20%
62%
47 20 27 -1
21 Jun. 2014
AAF
Aarhus Fremad
1 - 1
HIK
HIK
31%
26%
43%
47 55 8 0
14 Jun. 2014
SKI
Skive
2 - 0
Aarhus Fremad
AAF
76%
15%
9%
47 61 14 0

Matches

Aalborg BK II
Aalborg BK II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Aug. 2014
AAB
Aalborg BK II
5 - 2
Hobro II
HOB
43%
22%
35%
28 33 5 0
16 Aug. 2014
HOL
Holstebro
1 - 0
Aalborg BK II
AAB
66%
18%
16%
31 35 4 -3
14 Jun. 2014
HED
Hedensted
4 - 0
Aalborg BK II
AAB
39%
23%
38%
34 30 4 -3
07 Jun. 2014
AAB
Aalborg BK II
3 - 0
Aarhus Fremad II
AAR
67%
18%
15%
33 28 5 +1
29 May. 2014
HOB
Hobro II
2 - 2
Aalborg BK II
AAB
50%
23%
27%
33 35 2 0