Aarau II vs Porrentruy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
GRA
2 - 5
AAR
17%
19%
64%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
AAR
3 - 1
SCH
79%
13%
8%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 3
AAR
17%
19%
64%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
AAR
1 - 1
LAN
44%
23%
34%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
AAR
2 - 0
BER
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Porrentruy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
BER
25%
24%
51%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
BUM
2 - 0
POR
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
ALL
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
OST
1 - 1
POR
33%
24%
43%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
POR
2 - 0
MOU
31%
24%
45%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +2 |