Aalborg Chang vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
43.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aalborg Chang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
AAL
1 - 3
THI
44%
23%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
AAL
1 - 3
THI
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
AAL
1 - 3
MAR
73%
17%
11%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
AAL
0 - 1
ACH
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
AAF
1 - 1
AAL
41%
25%
35%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
AAF
1 - 1
MID
68%
20%
13%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
JAM
1 - 0
AAF
30%
25%
46%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
AAF
2 - 1
DJU
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
BRA
0 - 0
AAF
23%
25%
52%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
AAF
0 - 2
THI
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -2 |