Denmark Fourth Division Group 4 Round 18

Aalborg BK II vs Randers Freja analysis

Aalborg BK II Randers Freja
41 ELO 27
3.6% Tilt 8.3%
34804º General ELO ranking 22487º
408º Country ELO ranking 249º
ELO win probability
80.6%
Aalborg BK II
11.8%
Draw
7.6%
Randers Freja

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
Aalborg BK II
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
7.6%
Win probability
Randers Freja
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Aalborg BK II
Randers Freja
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aalborg BK II
Aalborg BK II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 2017
HOL
Holstebro
2 - 0
Aalborg BK II
AAL
38%
23%
39%
43 37 6 0
02 Apr. 2017
AAR
VSK Aarhus II
6 - 2
Aalborg BK II
AAL
20%
22%
58%
46 34 12 -3
25 Mar. 2017
AAL
Aalborg BK II
0 - 2
IF Lyseng
IFL
60%
21%
19%
47 43 4 -1
05 Nov. 2016
SKJ
Skjold Sæby
1 - 1
Aalborg BK II
AAL
7%
13%
80%
48 19 29 -1
29 Oct. 2016
AAL
Aalborg BK II
0 - 1
Lystrup
LYS
80%
13%
7%
48 31 17 0

Matches

Randers Freja
Randers Freja
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 2017
RAN
Randers Freja
0 - 2
VSK Aarhus II
AAR
29%
21%
51%
27 38 11 0
01 Apr. 2017
SKJ
Skjold Sæby
1 - 4
Randers Freja
RAN
24%
20%
56%
26 21 5 +1
25 Mar. 2017
RAN
Randers Freja
1 - 3
Vatanspor
VAT
31%
21%
48%
27 38 11 -1
04 Nov. 2016
RAN
Randers Freja
1 - 1
Aarhus Fremad II
AAR
34%
24%
43%
27 36 9 0
29 Oct. 2016
RAN
Randers Freja
0 - 4
Holstebro
HOL
35%
23%
42%
28 36 8 -1