Guarany SE vs Riachuelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
SER
0 - 1
GUA
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
SER
1 - 3
GUA
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
SAO
3 - 4
GUA
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 3
AME
51%
24%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
SDJ
1 - 0
GUA
44%
24%
31%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Riachuelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
RFC
1 - 1
SDJ
26%
24%
50%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
AMA
1 - 1
RFC
64%
19%
17%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
RFC
3 - 0
GUA
37%
25%
38%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +3 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
PIR
7 - 1
RFC
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
ITA
3 - 2
RFC
73%
15%
11%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | 0 |