Guarany SE vs Amadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
SER
1 - 0
GUA
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
SAO
2 - 0
GUA
54%
22%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2007 |
GUA
1 - 2
CON
18%
22%
59%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
GUA
3 - 0
AME
44%
23%
33%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
PIR
4 - 1
GUA
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
AMA
0 - 1
PIR
25%
24%
52%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
LAG
1 - 2
AMA
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2007 |
AMA
1 - 1
OSE
38%
24%
38%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
ITA
2 - 1
AMA
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
AMA
2 - 0
CON
16%
21%
62%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | +2 |