Guarany SE vs AD Carmópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
27.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
SER
4 - 0
GUA
70%
18%
11%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
GUA
2 - 0
FFC
20%
22%
58%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +6 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
DOR
1 - 2
GUA
43%
27%
30%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
AME
3 - 0
GUA
56%
22%
23%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
GUA
1 - 0
ADB
59%
21%
20%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
AD Carmópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ADC
1 - 1
LAG
13%
20%
67%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
ADC
1 - 1
AME
21%
21%
58%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2025 |
FFC
3 - 2
ADC
68%
18%
14%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
ADB
3 - 2
ADC
29%
22%
49%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ADC
1 - 2
CON
8%
15%
78%
|
22 | 65 | 43 | 0 |