Portuguesa vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CAX
1 - 2
POR
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
POR
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
POR
4 - 2
JUV
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
TUP
1 - 0
POR
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
POR
2 - 1
GUA
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
TOM
0 - 0
JUV
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
TOM
3 - 3
GUA
54%
25%
22%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 2
TOM
53%
26%
22%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
TOM
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
TOM
0 - 1
LON
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |