Portuguesa vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
50.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
COR
1 - 1
POR
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
POR
1 - 0
MOG
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2005 |
POR
2 - 1
SAO
16%
20%
63%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
PAU
2 - 2
POR
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
POR
1 - 2
POR
65%
19%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
SAO
3 - 2
MOG
73%
18%
9%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
UNI
1 - 2
SAO
12%
20%
68%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
SAO
0 - 2
POR
87%
10%
3%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
SAO
3 - 0
ATL
87%
10%
3%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
COR
2 - 2
SAO
42%
27%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |