Portuguesa vs São Bento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
PPE
2 - 3
POR
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
POR
2 - 3
VIL
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CEA
2 - 1
POR
66%
21%
14%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
AVA
2 - 0
POR
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
ABC
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
São Bento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 0
LIN
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 1
SAO
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 1
BOT
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAO
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
INT
1 - 0
SAO
27%
26%
46%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |