Portuguesa vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
BOT
3 - 0
POR
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1976 |
POR
0 - 1
PPE
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1976 |
PAL
2 - 1
POR
65%
23%
13%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
COR
0 - 0
POR
60%
24%
16%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
LON
1 - 3
POR
30%
30%
40%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
PPE
2 - 0
SAN
45%
23%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1976 |
SAN
2 - 4
COT
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
SCI
5 - 1
SAN
67%
21%
12%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1976 |
CAX
1 - 2
SAN
45%
23%
31%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
SAN
3 - 3
PAL
43%
28%
29%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |