Portuguesa vs Ipatinga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
POR
1 - 1
PPE
56%
25%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
BAH
1 - 4
POR
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
POR
3 - 1
FFL
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
FOR
0 - 1
POR
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
POR
1 - 2
VIL
67%
21%
13%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Ipatinga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
IFC
2 - 0
BRA
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
CAM
5 - 1
IFC
25%
27%
48%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
IFC
0 - 0
PPE
49%
26%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 2
IFC
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
IFC
2 - 2
FFL
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |