Portuguesa vs Desportivo Brasil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 0
POR
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
POR
2 - 1
VOT
32%
27%
41%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
ATI
1 - 2
POR
51%
24%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 0
POR
53%
25%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
POR
1 - 0
NAC
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Desportivo Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
DES
1 - 2
MON
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
MON
0 - 0
DES
33%
27%
41%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
DES
3 - 2
COM
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
COM
1 - 0
DES
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
DES
1 - 0
BER
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |