Portuguesa vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2005 |
GAM
3 - 2
POR
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2005 |
POR
0 - 4
ITU
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 2005 |
POR
1 - 1
SAN
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
REC
2 - 2
POR
32%
26%
42%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2005 |
POR
2 - 0
UNI
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2005 |
CRI
1 - 1
GUA
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2005 |
UNI
1 - 2
CRI
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2005 |
AVA
3 - 0
CRI
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
CRI
3 - 2
ANA
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2005 |
NAU
4 - 2
CRI
40%
25%
34%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |