Portuguesa vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
ATM
2 - 1
POR
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
ITU
1 - 1
POR
66%
21%
14%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2006 |
POR
1 - 1
BRA
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2006 |
REM
1 - 2
POR
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2006 |
POR
0 - 1
GUA
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2006 |
AVA
2 - 0
ITU
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2006 |
PAY
1 - 1
AVA
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2006 |
AVA
2 - 0
ATM
22%
27%
51%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2006 |
BRA
2 - 0
AVA
64%
22%
15%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2006 |
AVA
1 - 0
REM
49%
26%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |