A Manchica vs Soutopenedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A Manchica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MUN
0 - 0
MAN
18%
21%
61%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MAN
3 - 0
PIÑ
38%
23%
39%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
PAD
1 - 1
MAN
31%
24%
45%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MAN
7 - 0
CAR
43%
23%
35%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
MUI
2 - 1
MAN
57%
21%
23%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Soutopenedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 2
XUN
36%
24%
41%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 1
SOU
54%
22%
24%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 1
MAC
25%
23%
53%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ESP
0 - 1
SOU
46%
22%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 2
LOB
24%
22%
54%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |