Tolentino vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
13.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MAT
0 - 1
UST
39%
27%
35%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
UST
0 - 1
FAN
64%
22%
14%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ASD
0 - 2
UST
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
VAS
0 - 1
UST
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
UST
2 - 1
POR
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
MON
35%
26%
39%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 0
CAS
59%
22%
19%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
SSS
21%
22%
57%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
MAT
2 - 1
CAS
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 0
CHI
43%
26%
32%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +2 |