Tolentino vs Città di Campobasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
UST
2 - 0
OLY
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
UST
0 - 1
CYN
40%
22%
38%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
ASD
3 - 1
UST
52%
22%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
UST
2 - 2
CAS
36%
22%
42%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 2
UST
65%
18%
17%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Città di Campobasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SFF
1 - 2
CAM
25%
26%
49%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
CAM
4 - 1
RIE
51%
25%
25%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
SEL
0 - 2
CAM
12%
18%
70%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
CYN
1 - 2
CAM
40%
26%
35%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
CAM
0 - 0
GIU
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |