Tolentino vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
PIN
1 - 2
UST
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
REC
2 - 2
UST
47%
22%
32%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
VAS
3 - 3
UST
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
GIU
2 - 0
UST
14%
20%
67%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
UST
1 - 0
RIE
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
APR
0 - 1
SAN
29%
25%
46%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
APR
0 - 0
MAT
38%
23%
40%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
REC
1 - 4
APR
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 2
APR
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
APR
1 - 1
CAS
46%
24%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |