SU Bad Leonfelden vs St. Valentin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
19.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
7º
6º
20
7º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 56 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
78% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
62% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
92% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
92% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
73% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
73% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SU Bad Leonfelden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
4 - 3
SBL
61%
19%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SBL
1 - 1
BAD
32%
22%
46%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
URB
1 - 1
SBL
14%
17%
69%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
SBL
0 - 1
OST
39%
22%
40%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SVZ
1 - 2
SBL
52%
20%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
St. Valentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ASV
4 - 3
GMU
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
ASV
0 - 5
UMA
13%
18%
69%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PWD
3 - 0
ASV
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
WEA
2 - 1
ASV
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ASV
1 - 1
SPG
29%
23%
48%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |