Laranja Mecanica vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
72.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+240%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Laranja Mecanica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
TOL
1 - 3
LEC
32%
22%
46%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 1
PST
13%
16%
71%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
LEC
0 - 2
IGU
21%
20%
59%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
GEM
2 - 0
LEC
74%
17%
9%
|
17 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
LEC
3 - 0
AEC
31%
22%
47%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 1
APU
75%
18%
8%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
GEM
55%
22%
23%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
PST
2 - 2
PAR
18%
25%
58%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
CAB
2 - 2
PAR
14%
22%
64%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 0
TOL
78%
16%
7%
|
52 | 15 | 37 | 0 |