Garrel vs Stenum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
11.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Garrel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ESE
0 - 3
GAR
20%
19%
61%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GAR
1 - 1
HAN
27%
21%
52%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BWP
0 - 2
GAR
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
TDI
2 - 2
GAR
68%
17%
15%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GAR
1 - 0
GWM
14%
17%
70%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Stenum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
STE
0 - 2
TDI
14%
17%
70%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GWM
1 - 0
STE
78%
14%
9%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
STE
0 - 4
SCM
14%
18%
68%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VOR
0 - 3
STE
65%
18%
17%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
WSV
4 - 0
STE
90%
7%
3%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | -1 |