Eintracht Duisburg 1848 vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
9.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eintracht Duisburg 1848
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1963 |
LEV
3 - 0
EID
64%
18%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1963 |
EID
4 - 1
SPO
71%
16%
14%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 1963 |
WHE
3 - 3
EID
50%
21%
28%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1940 |
SGE
3 - 1
EID
20%
21%
60%
|
47 | 11 | 36 | -1 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1963 |
ARB
1 - 1
SPV
42%
23%
36%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1963 |
LSV
1 - 3
ARB
77%
13%
10%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +3 |
| 04 Aug. 1963 |
ARB
6 - 1
HAM
67%
18%
14%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
HAM
7 - 3
ARB
77%
14%
10%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
ARB
1 - 6
ROT
55%
20%
25%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -2 |