Edelserpentin vs Pinkafeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
66.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
15º
10º
33
5º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 78 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 61 |
3º
|
66.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 52 |
4º
|
51.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
55.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 37 |
9º
|
62% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
10º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 32 |
11º
|
30% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
85.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 18 |
15º
|
63% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
63% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Edelserpentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
BAS
4 - 0
SPG
66%
18%
17%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SPG
1 - 2
HOR
27%
20%
53%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 2
SPG
84%
10%
6%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
SPG
0 - 1
LEI
22%
20%
59%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ASV
3 - 0
SPG
79%
14%
7%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Pinkafeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
PIN
4 - 1
SVS
89%
8%
3%
|
24 | 8 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
USV
2 - 1
PIN
17%
18%
66%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PIN
2 - 2
ASK
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 1
PIN
14%
17%
69%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
KLI
2 - 2
PIN
37%
22%
41%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |