Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs Penedense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
53.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 0
CAR
55%
21%
23%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 2
CSA
8%
17%
75%
|
27 | 70 | 43 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ASA
2 - 1
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 2
CAR
71%
19%
10%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
RFC
14%
22%
64%
|
25 | 59 | 34 | +1 |
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 1
CSE
28%
23%
49%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
COR
0 - 0
PEN
34%
23%
43%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 1
CRB
8%
18%
75%
|
35 | 79 | 44 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
SSS
2 - 1
PEN
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
3 - 1
IPA
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |