Castelvetro vs Villabiagio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
31.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelvetro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
TUT
2 - 1
CAS
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 4
ASD
84%
11%
5%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
IMO
3 - 3
CAS
55%
20%
24%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 2
FIO
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
PIA
0 - 0
CAS
56%
20%
24%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Villabiagio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 3
RIM
17%
23%
61%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
FIO
0 - 1
VIL
51%
22%
27%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
VIL
4 - 1
SAN
58%
20%
21%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
COR
1 - 2
VIL
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 0
SPO
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |