Castelvetro vs Rimini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
64%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelvetro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
MON
4 - 1
CAS
55%
20%
24%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
SAN
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 1
ROM
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 4
CAS
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 3
MEZ
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
RIM
1 - 1
TUT
69%
20%
11%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
FIO
0 - 1
RIM
22%
24%
54%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
RIM
1 - 0
SAN
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
COR
1 - 2
RIM
11%
20%
69%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 1
RIM
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |