9 de Octubre vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
22.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
LDU
4 - 2
OCT
65%
19%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
BSC
1 - 1
OCT
64%
19%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
MAN
2 - 0
OCT
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
OCT
2 - 1
SSR
62%
24%
14%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
3 - 2
OCT
25%
29%
46%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
MUS
1 - 3
AUC
33%
26%
42%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
MUS
2 - 0
DEL
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
BSC
3 - 0
MUS
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
LDU
0 - 0
MUS
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
MUS
0 - 0
ORE
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |