9 de Octubre vs Búhos ULVR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
10º
6º
30
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
AME
1 - 0
OCT
39%
27%
35%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 1
IMB
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 1
OCT
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 2
CUN
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
CSV
1 - 0
OCT
25%
28%
47%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Búhos ULVR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 3
CUN
37%
28%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 0
GUA
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
AME
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
INJ
2 - 0
GUA
59%
24%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 2
MAN
28%
30%
43%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |