9 de Octubre vs Guaireña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
OCT
1 - 1
MAC
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
OCT
2 - 2
RIV
58%
25%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
LIG
2 - 0
OCT
67%
18%
15%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
OCT
3 - 2
IND
48%
23%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
OCT
0 - 1
DEL
49%
24%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guaireña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 0
RES
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
CCP
0 - 0
GUA
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 1
AME
38%
27%
36%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
SCI
23%
29%
48%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 0
GUA
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |