76 Iğdır vs Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
1º
13º
1º
51
3º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 54 |
5º
|
93.5% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
93.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 36 |
11º
|
81.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
81.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
6.5% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
6.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 12 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
76 Iğdır
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ERG
0 - 1
IGD
18%
23%
59%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
IGD
8 - 0
EBE
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
KBS
1 - 2
IGD
27%
25%
49%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
KAY
2 - 1
IGD
77%
14%
9%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
IGD
1 - 1
AKS
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
AYV
0 - 0
OFS
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
KBS
2 - 3
AYV
48%
24%
27%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
AYV
4 - 1
BAY
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
DEN
2 - 1
AYV
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GUM
1 - 2
AYV
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |