7 de Setembro EC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.5%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
75.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
7 de Setembro EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2008 |
LIM
1 - 0
SET
45%
24%
31%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
SET
4 - 3
LIM
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
NAU
2 - 1
SET
90%
8%
3%
|
26 | 76 | 50 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
SET
1 - 1
PET
31%
24%
46%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2008 |
SPO
2 - 0
SET
85%
11%
4%
|
25 | 77 | 52 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2008 |
NAU
5 - 0
PET
89%
8%
3%
|
76 | 37 | 39 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2008 |
PET
1 - 2
NAU
9%
16%
75%
|
76 | 37 | 39 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2008 |
ARO
1 - 7
NAU
10%
17%
73%
|
76 | 35 | 41 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
NAU
2 - 1
SET
90%
8%
3%
|
76 | 26 | 50 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
LIM
0 - 4
NAU
9%
17%
75%
|
76 | 24 | 52 | 0 |