7 de Setembro SM vs Comercial MS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
7 de Setembro SM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
7DE
0 - 0
OPE
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
OPE
0 - 0
7DE
24%
26%
50%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
7DE
2 - 1
CHA
57%
23%
21%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 1
7DE
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
IVI
5 - 1
7DE
54%
24%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Comercial MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
COM
0 - 0
COR
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
JEC
14%
23%
63%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
COR
0 - 0
COM
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
COM
2 - 0
AGU
35%
27%
39%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 3
COM
58%
23%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |