5 de Octubre vs General Díaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.3%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
82.7%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.3%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
12.1%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.6%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.1%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
GEN
0 - 1
SAN
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
GUT
1 - 0
GEN
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
GEN
1 - 0
SPO
24%
25%
51%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
GEN
0 - 1
DEP
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
IND
1 - 0
GEN
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |