4 de Julho vs Moto Club MA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
GUA
3 - 1
4DE
26%
26%
49%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 2
4DE
16%
23%
61%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
4DE
1 - 1
TOC
71%
19%
10%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
4DE
2 - 0
IMP
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
SAO
9 - 1
4DE
87%
10%
2%
|
45 | 85 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
MOT
1 - 1
IMP
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
PAR
2 - 2
MOT
42%
26%
31%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
JCA
0 - 3
MOT
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
MOT
0 - 2
GUA
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
TOC
1 - 1
MOT
22%
24%
54%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -1 |