4 de Julho vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
4DE
0 - 2
PAR
37%
27%
37%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
PIA
2 - 3
4DE
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
4DE
0 - 1
CAI
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 0
4DE
63%
21%
15%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 0
4DE
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 2
PAR
31%
26%
43%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
FLA
3 - 1
PIA
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 0
RIV
26%
26%
47%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
PIC
3 - 0
FLA
43%
26%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CAI
2 - 1
FLA
28%
26%
45%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |