4 de Julho vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
4DE
0 - 1
FLA
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 0
4DE
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
4DE
3 - 0
OEI
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2009 |
OEI
1 - 2
4DE
24%
22%
53%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
PIC
1 - 1
4DE
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
PAL
4 - 0
FLA
86%
11%
3%
|
45 | 84 | 39 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
FLA
0 - 1
PAL
10%
19%
71%
|
45 | 84 | 39 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
TRE
2 - 1
FLA
49%
26%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 1
ALE
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 1
FER
31%
26%
42%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |