3FB Toliara vs Dato FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
48.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
8º
16º
11º
11
7º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 34 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 29 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 22 |
5º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 21 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 19 |
8º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 18 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 17 |
11º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
91% | |
|
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
13º
|
59% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
60% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 10 |
15º
|
60% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3FB Toliara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
DAT
2 - 3
3FB
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
RJM
3 - 0
3FB
69%
18%
14%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
3FB
1 - 3
ELG
29%
22%
49%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MMA
1 - 1
3FB
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ZFC
2 - 1
3FB
73%
16%
12%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Dato FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
DAT
1 - 2
RJM
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MMA
1 - 0
DAT
48%
22%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
DAT
2 - 3
3FB
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
DAT
1 - 1
ELG
51%
22%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
DAT
2 - 0
CFF
48%
22%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |