3 de Febrero vs Fernando de la Mora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SDP
2 - 0
SAN
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
SPC
47%
26%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
DEP
4 - 2
SAN
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
RES
1 - 1
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fernando de la Mora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
FER
3 - 1
SPT
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 0
FER
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
FER
1 - 4
RPA
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
CAC
0 - 0
FER
46%
29%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
FER
0 - 3
GEN
31%
28%
41%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |