1860 München vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
34.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
OFC
3 - 1
MUN
71%
16%
13%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
MUN
0 - 4
KSC
50%
23%
27%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
SGF
2 - 1
MUN
43%
23%
34%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
MUN
3 - 2
SCH
76%
15%
10%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
WAL
0 - 2
MUN
53%
21%
27%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
FCN
2 - 0
REU
77%
14%
9%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
FCN
3 - 1
OFC
70%
17%
13%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
KSC
2 - 4
FCN
61%
20%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
FCN
0 - 1
BYM
76%
14%
10%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
FSV
2 - 1
FCN
32%
25%
44%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | -1 |