1860 München vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
COT
0 - 5
MUN
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
OSN
2 - 3
MUN
34%
25%
41%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
MUN
2 - 1
KSC
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
EBT
3 - 1
MUN
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
PAD
3 - 2
MUN
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
ERZ
0 - 2
KSC
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
SAA
1 - 3
ERZ
42%
25%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
ING
0 - 0
ERZ
42%
27%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
ERZ
1 - 0
AAA
38%
27%
34%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
FSV
0 - 2
ERZ
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |