1860 München II vs VfR Garching analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
3º
11º
7º
22
8º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
BUC
2 - 2
186
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
186
0 - 0
VRG
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
DEI
1 - 1
186
35%
24%
41%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
186
1 - 1
DAC
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 0
186
58%
22%
21%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
186
0 - 0
VRG
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
VRG
3 - 0
TUR
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
TSV
6 - 2
VRG
64%
19%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
VRG
0 - 0
TSA
21%
21%
58%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
VRG
1 - 4
LAN
24%
23%
53%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |