Union Berlin vs VfR Aalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
CZJ
1 - 2
FCU
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
FCU
1 - 1
EBT
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
SGD
0 - 1
FCU
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
FCU
0 - 0
WUP
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
FCU
4 - 0
WAC
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
VFR
1 - 1
OFC
38%
26%
37%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
STU
0 - 0
VFR
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
VFR
0 - 0
BAY
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
BSV
5 - 2
VFR
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
VFR
0 - 2
ERF
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |