Union Berlin vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
34.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SGF
1 - 1
FCU
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
FCU
1 - 1
ING
55%
24%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2014 |
STP
2 - 1
FCU
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
FCU
2 - 0
FSV
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
F95
1 - 1
FCU
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
PAD
2 - 1
SGD
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
KSC
4 - 0
PAD
44%
25%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
PAD
4 - 1
BOC
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
MUN
2 - 2
PAD
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
PAD
4 - 0
ARB
50%
26%
25%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |